Monday, 14 May 2012

So the exam period rather got in the way of regular updates to the blog, but as the season and my exams have finished I thought I might pen a few thoughts on the year gone by and the year ahead.

Firstly the West Brom game, which needs little comment, other than to say thank god Ben Foster, who had played all 37 of the Baggies' previous league games, injured himself in the warm up. His replacement, Marton Fulop, was presumably thinking about where he would spend his summer holidays instead of what to do when you receive a back pass under pressure, so instead of hoofing long he dallied and allowed Yossi Benayoun to swoop in and score the opener. Despite facing a season in the Europa League, Arsenal were playing like a team with nothing on the line, so it was no surprise when West Brom grabbed two in quick succession, the first admittedly scored by a player in an offside position, but the second merely a consequence of lax defending. With Spurs leading at White Hart Lane, Arsenal were in fourth, and a goal for Newcastle at Goodison would have dumped them out of the top four altogether. Circumstances conspired to prevent that from happening; firstly AndrĂ© Santos hammered a shot in at the near post to make it 2-2 at the Hawthorns, while Everton took a commanding lead against Newcastle. When Fulop accidentally punched a corner straight to Laurent Koscielny four yards out the Gunners took the lead for the second time that afternoon, and this time they held on to guarantee Champions League football in 2012-13.

Spurs will join us on the condition that Chelsea lose in Munich this Saturday, whilst the two Manchester clubs  complete the quartet. Said Wenger: "If you look at the season as a whole we only lost two in the last 16 games, we had a fantastic run and finished with a respectable 70 points and qualified for the 15th year in a row for the Champions League and we are proud of that. Only three clubs in the whole of Europe have done that. It shows it's not as easy as it looks." He is right; the football landscape has been constantly shifting under his feet, and while Arsenal have not looked capable of sustaining a title challenge in recent years, the club has remained amongst the European elite without sacrificing financial stability. Pointing out Arsenal's fiscally prudent transfer policy as a measure of success feels a bit too much like an excuse, and the evidence of success  amongst the spendthrifts of the league, specifically trophies, is a lot more tangible. It also feels like Arsenal fans have been waiting for the payoff for more than a few years now: the board have promised on more than one occasion that funds will be made available to the manager, and it feels like this is the summer that Wenger will finally buck the trend of a lifetime and flash the cash.

The grand youth experiment has failed, even Arsene has admitted as much. Building a team around a core of raw, inexperienced talent was difficult enough when he tried it 5 years ago, and with teams like Manchester City just waiting to offer inflated wages to any player unsatisfied with a single trophyless season, a long term project like that simply isn't feasible anymore. That's not to say that investment in young players is not important, but it's plain to see that success will only come by meshing youth with experience. The first transfer of the summer was sealed some time ago now; Lukas Podolski will join Arsenal from Koln, where he managed a haul of 18 goals despite playing for a team destined for relegation (see this Guardian article for a description of Koln's disastrous season: http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2012/may/07/koln-raphael-honigstein)

The question is, who else will follow him into the club? Moreover who else will leave, and what gaps need to be filled before the start of next season? The transfer rumour mill, normally abuzz with speculation about who Arsenal will pursue during the window has been remarkably quiet in the past few months. Constant chatter about Dortmund's Mario Goetze has dried up, although his team mate, striker Shinji Kagawa is supposedly a target. Wenger has allegedly also been eyeing up Rennes midfielder Yann M'vila for 17 million, although recent reports suggest that Arsenal's interest was being exaggerated by the player's agent to force Inter Milan's hand. American Clint Dempsey has also attracted attention after a breakout season that saw him score 23 goals, and there's little to suggest that he would not be a useful addition to a team which struggled to ease Van Persie's burden in front of goal this season.

The Dutchman's future is still a concern. Guaranteeing Champions League football next season will definitely improve the likelihood of him staying in North London, but his comments after the West Brom game suggested that the issue was far from decided. By all accounts officials at Arsenal are confident that he will stay, and according to the BBC, his wife has told reporters how happy the family are in London. Manchester City have an irritating knack for convincing players of the merits of a move to their city (something to do with the wonderful climate I suppose, I can't imagine what else they have to offer) so nothing is certain yet.

If Robin does elect to stay with us (and as I've said before, he owes us at least one more injury free season), then the truth of the matter is that this team is not a million miles off challenging the Manchester hegemony. Injuries to Jack Wilshere and almost all of our full backs were the difference between finishing closer to the team in fourth than the team in second. With a fully fit squad, we wouldn't necessarily have challenged for the title, but we would have celebrated St Totteringham's day a damn sight earlier than the 13th of May. Saying that a season without injuries would have pushed us closer to the summit is a bit like saying the addition of Messi would improve the quality of our finishing, but it's still true. A defence of Sagna, Koscielny, Vermaelen and Gibbs/Santos protecting Szczesny can only get better as they play more games together, while a midfield of Song, Wilshere and Arteta is amongst the best in the league. Moreover a front three selected from Gervinho, Van Persie, Walcott, Oxlade-Chamberlain and Podolski would be lethal. Finally cover would be provided by the likes of Rosicky, Diaby and Ramsey in midfield, while Mertersacker, Djorou and Jenkinson would reinforce the defence. That's a genuinely good team with decent squad depth. Can it be improved upon? Definitely. Will it be? Maybe. We await Wenger's next move with baited breath.

PS - just a quick note about Pat Rice, faithful servant to the club for decades and a consistent presence on the touchline for as long as I've been a fan.You've earned your pension and then some - enjoy your retirement and hope to see you at the emirates soon.

3 comments:

  1. A good perspective given that we all know this team has the personnel to do much better, especially against the teams from the nether regions of the table. But the pronouncement that the Cult of Youth is over is most comforting. As exciting and attractive as it was, you just hated to see the poor kids wilt under the hobnail boots of hard men when it came to crunch time in Champions or critical head to to head matches for league or FA. Will Mertersacker provide that discipline in the back? Someone needs to step up and lead by example and scream at the others. Can't see Koscielny doing that but I can see the others following a strong leader. We tighten the back against the quick counter and we can smoother most teams with ball control, brilliant in-runs, and scuds from Arteta and Wilshire.
    I like the name change even if I am not sure what it means.
    Glad you are back Theo. Will you write about the Euro Cup? I"ll be at the England -Sweden match in Kiev. Let me know if you are there too.
    Pat

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    1. 'Arsene knows' was, for many years, a refrain on online forums to dismiss criticism of Wenger on the grounds that he always knew what he was doing, even when he seemed like he didn't. He also has a big nose. It seemed natural to combine the two.

      As for leadership, I don't see Mertersacker taking charge - Vermaelen at a push, but even he seems too nice. Perhaps it'll have to be down to Szczesny to marshall the back line - he seems self-assured enough to shout at others older and more experienced than him. Someone needs to tell Alex Song to stop making forays into the final third when there's no one there to cover for him.

      Sadly I won't make to the Euros but I'll be watching England crash and burn all the same - it's a shame that they appointed Roy to manage because he seems like one of the good guys, so I'll feel slightly more guilty about rooting against our boys in white. I'm sure it'll be a lot of fun out there though. All the best.

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    2. I just happened to see this response from last year. How time flies. England beat Zlatan and the Boxhead Army in Kiev in perhaps the best game of the tournament. Your namesake figured big in that. He has become quite a force of his own.
      Perhaps the refrain "Arsene Knows" will be resurrected again after the record money spent by others, and now we get a true star in Ozil. I think he will fit in very well. No more losses to pond scum and the season will be a fun one to follow for a change.
      Shocked to see that Nutsacker is actually team captain. I know I am not very tall, and that should matter in football, and it occassionaly does for him. But other than being tall, I haven't once seen Per do anything that I couldn't have done when I was his age. And I know I was twice his speed, which is not saying much. And I was a good leader and could command troops on the pitch. And I didn't shirk from the nasty stick when it seemed necessary. I will do my best to find something positive about him this year. Remember, Arsene Knows. I just don't know what he KNOWS about Nutsacker.
      Get back to writing us blogs again. It is a brand new day.
      Pat

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